Yesterday's Recap - 28th September
Dubai Icon got a decent start and settled quickly into the race, chasing the leaders in third place until inside the final 3 furlongs, seemingly running well within himself. Drifted backwards from there and unfortunately pulled up very quickly after that and failed to finish. No news found at the moment as to the cause.
Tipster's Stats - Expert Eye (since start of competition) source
Both the top two had losing picks yesterday so no change in the lead. A look down the leaderboard shows of the 53 tipsters listed only 10 are currently showing a profit, although 11th placed Glendale is only £0.13 in the red. The largest loss is held by Moorestyle of The Daily Star Sunday with a massive P&L of -£85.17 from his 159 NAP selections, not helped by his current 32 race losing streak. With only 15 winners his strike rate for the season is a mere 9.43%. This shows that not even the "experts" get it right all the time, and the huge amount of luck needed to pick a winner.
Daily Summary
| Date | Selection | Odds Taken | Result | SP Odds | Winnings | Win/ Loss/NR | Strike Rate | Profit/ (Loss) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brought Forward | 25-74-4 | 25.25% | £2.25 | |||||
| 1st September | Another Romance | 5-1 | 1st | 11-2 | £0.65 | 26-74-4 | 26.00% | £2.80 |
| 2nd September | Majestic Fighter | 7-2 | 4th | 7-2 | £0.00 | 26-75-4 | 25.74% | £2.70 |
| 3rd September | First Ruler | 11-4 | 3rd | 7-2 | £0.00 | 26-76-4 | 25.49% | £2.60 |
| 4th September | Pink Crystal | 3-1 | 5th | 3-1 | £0.00 | 26-77-4 | 25.24% | £2.50 |
| 5th September | Watch House Cross | 6-1 | Non Runner | £0.00 | 26-77-5 | 25.24% | £2.50 | |
| 6th September | Sirona | 8-11 | 2nd | 11-8 | £0.00 | 26-78-5 | 25.00% | £2.40 |
| 7th September | Shine On Brendan | 3-1 | 14th | 13-8f | £0.00 | 26-79-5 | 24.76% | £2.30 |
| 8th September | Flyawaydream | 5-2 | 2nd | 5-2 | £0.00 | 26-80-5 | 24.07% | £2.20 |
| 9th September | No UK Racing | £2.20 | ||||||
| 10th September | No UK Racing | £2.20 | ||||||
| 11th September | Johan | 14-1 | 8th | 20-1 | £0.00 | 26-81-5 | 24.30% | £2.10 |
| 12th September | Rechercher | 3-1 | 4th | 3-1 | £0.00 | 26-82-5 | 24.07% | £2.00 |
| 13th September | Admiralty House | 7-2 | 10th | 5-1 | £0.00 | 26-83-5 | 23.85% | £1.90 |
| 14th September | Storm Fox | 11-2 | 3rd | 11-2 | £0.00 | 26-84-5 | 23.64% | £1.80 |
| 15th September | Shimmering Sands | 7-4 | Non Runner | £0.00 | 26-84-6 | 23.64% | £1.80 | |
| 16th September | Grantley Hall | 9-1 | 22nd | 11-1 | £0.00 | 26-85-6 | 23.42% | £1.70 |
| 17th September | Bielsa | 10-1 | 14th | 11-1 | £0.00 | 26-86-6 | 23.21% | £1.60 |
| 18th September | Borntobealeader | 6/5 | 3rd | 6-5 | £0.00 | 26-87-6 | 23.00% | £1.50 |
| 19th September | Midnight Toker | 2-1 | 2nd | 7-2 | £0.00 | 26-88-6 | 22.81% | £1.40 |
| 20th September | King Of Stars | 3-1 | 5th | 3-1 | £0.00 | 26-89-6 | 22.61% | £1.30 |
| 21st September | Knightswood | 10-3 | 2nd | 10-3 | £0.00 | 26-90-6 | 22.41% | £1.20 |
| 22nd September | Open Champion | 2-1 | 5th | 2-1 | £0.00 | 26-91-6 | 22.22% | £1.10 |
| 23rd September | Tempus | 3-1 | 3rd | 3-1 | £0.00 | 26-92-6 | 22.03% | £1.00 |
| 24th September | Celtic Champion | 3-1 | £0.00 | 26-93-6 | 21.88% | £0.90 | ||
| 25th September | New Pursuit | 5-2 | 1st | 5-2 | £0.35 | 27-93-6 | 22.50% | £1.15 |
| 26th September | Cavallo Pazzo | 2-1 | 4th | 9-1 | £0.00 | 27-94-6 | 22.31% | £1.05 |
| 27th September | Georgeville | 3-1 | 3rd | 6-1 | £0.00 | 27-95-6 | 22.13% | £0.95 |
| 28th September | Dubai Icon | 9-2 | PU | 9-2 | £0.00 | 27-96-6 | 21.95% | £0.85 |
29th September
30th September
Best Odds in BOLD
Monthly Summary
| Total Staked | Total Returns | Total Profit/(Loss) | Running Total | W-L | Strike Rate | NR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2022 | £2.30 | £4.19 | £1.89 | £1.89 | 8-14 | 36.36% | |
| June 2022 | £3.00 | £3.01 | £0.01 | £1.90 | 4-25 | 16.00% | 1 |
| July 2022 | £2.70 | £3.62 | £0.92 | £2.82 | 8-17 | 32.00% | 2 |
| Aug 2022 | £2.40 | £1.83 | (£0.57) | £2.25 | 5-18 | 21.73% | 1 |
| Sep 2022 | £2.60 | £1.20 | (£1.40) | £0.85 | 2-24 | 7.69% | 2 |
Today's Bet - 29th September, 2022
| Selection | Epic Express |
| Meeting & Race | 7.00 Chelmsford - Chelmsford City Racecourse Membership Handicap |
| Distance | Gf |
| Age Group | 3yo+ |
| Class | 5 |
| Tipster | Expert Eye |
| Draw | 7 |
| No.of Runners | 12 |
| Surface | Polytrack |
| Going | Standard |
| Rating | 67 |
| Jockey | George Bass |
| Trainer | Chris Dwyer |
| Recent Form | 67949251 |
| Odds Taken | 3-1 |
| Stake | £0.10 |
| Bet Type | Win |
| Est. Return | £0.40 |
| Est. Profit | £0.30 |
| Comments | Grabbed his second win of the year here just 7 days ago over this distance. Handicapper penalised him quite heavily for that success, but jockey George Bass, in the saddle again, has mitigated that penalty slightly by making use of his claim allowance of 3lbs. A definite contender. |
If you are following the strategy let me know how you're doing overall, what odds you got on this race?, were they better/worse than I took?. Do you have a strategy of your own? I'll send 100 SPORTS tokens if you leave a relevant comment.
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Dividers courtesy of @eve66